Backtest Engine
M4
Demo synthetic
Replay historical mempool data to project what PreBlock would have delivered. Conservative, defensible counterfactual math.
Backtest parameters
Knots + standard M1 scoring. Typical for stable fee environments.
Total delta
0.3016 BTC
$30,159 @ $100,000
Effective uplift
+2.50%
over 30d
PreBlock fees
12.3653 BTC
Core baseline: 12.0637 BTC
Annualised projection
$366,937
3.6694 BTC/year
Daily delta (BTC)
2026-07-272026-08-25
Top 10 days by delta
| Day | Blocks | PreBlock | Core | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | 2 | 1.0297 | 1.0046 | +0.0251 |
| 2026-08-01 | 2 | 0.5305 | 0.5175 | +0.0129 |
| 2026-07-31 | 2 | 0.5073 | 0.495 | +0.0124 |
| 2026-08-25 | 2 | 0.4833 | 0.4715 | +0.0118 |
| 2026-08-08 | 2 | 0.4781 | 0.4664 | +0.0117 |
| 2026-08-07 | 2 | 0.4674 | 0.456 | +0.0114 |
| 2026-08-10 | 2 | 0.466 | 0.4546 | +0.0114 |
| 2026-08-20 | 2 | 0.4668 | 0.4554 | +0.0114 |
| 2026-08-21 | 2 | 0.4659 | 0.4545 | +0.0114 |
| 2026-08-05 | 2 | 0.4343 | 0.4237 | +0.0106 |
Live mode replays your own mempool_lookahead_history collection. Demo mode synthesises a plausible daily series with the same shape so prospective buyers can drive the math without exposing live predictor data. Counterfactual fee deltas are computed against the configurable uplift assumption.